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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.In the UK, the RICS house price difference in November was positive 25, the highest since September 2022, and in October it was positive 16.After the shooting of the medical insurance giant executives, the executives of big companies such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have also been "targeted". The new york police are adjusting relevant posters, and the new york police are investigating posters posted in some areas of Manhattan about American business executives. In addition CEO Brian Thompson, CEO of UNH insurance business who was shot dead last Wednesday (December 4th), related posters also mentioned executives of American Express, Goldman Sachs Group, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and other companies, and their heads were all painted with red "X" signs. A spokesman for the new york police said that in addition to posters, American corporate executives are also facing increasing cyber threats.

Syrian Human Rights Watch: Israel continues to air strike Syrian military facilities. On the 12th local time, Syrian Human Rights Watch said that Israeli warplanes continued to launch air strikes against military facilities in Syria, including military sites in Latakia port and arsenals in Tartus province. According to the organization, this is the fourth consecutive day that Israeli warplanes launched an air strike on the Syrian arsenal after the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's government.US President-elect Trump issued a document saying that the resignation of Christopher Babers, director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), is a great day for the United States, accusing the FBI under his leadership of illegal actions, such as illegal search of his home, illegal impeachment and prosecution, which undermined the future of the United States. At the same time, it is believed that Kash Patel is the most qualified candidate to lead the FBI, and he is expected to confirm his leadership position to make the FBI great again. He also said that grassroots FBI personnel and the American people also hope to see these changes.He was sentenced to 12 years in prison for selling more than 80 classified documents to pay off gambling debts. Today, the Ministry of National Security announced two anti-espionage cases: when experts in the core scientific research field of a university went abroad for face-to-face signing, visa officials kept asking about the research progress and the source of project funds, which aroused the experts' vigilance and immediately reported to the school and state security organs. During the academic conference, the experts met with people from abroad, and the other side hoped to carry out "deep cooperation" by providing academic convenience as bait. In the end, the experts calmly responded and reported to the school as soon as they returned to China, which not only protected their personal safety but also effectively safeguarded the core secret safety. Li Moumou, the core secret-related personnel of an institution, is addicted to online gambling and owes huge gambling debts. In order to repay the debt, Li took the initiative to hook up with overseas spy intelligence agencies, took photos of more than 80 classified documents and sent them to the other party, collecting spy funds of more than 100,000 yuan. The state security organs detected the case in time, and Li was sentenced to 12 years in prison for espionage. There are obvious loopholes in the anti-espionage security work of Li's unit, and three responsible personnel have been punished by party discipline and government affairs. (CCTV)

Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese stocks in the week of December 6 was 482.3 billion yen, with the previous value of-607.7 billion yen. Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese bonds in the week of December 6 was 1,006.4 billion yen, with the previous value of 176.1 billion yen. Japan bought a net foreign bond of-640.8 billion yen in the week of December 6, with the previous value of 922.4 billion yen. In the week of December 6th, Japan bought foreign stocks net-954.8 billion yen, with the previous value of-544.7 billion yen.Australian Government: Australia will provide Papua New Guinea with $600 million in 10 years to help rugby league teams enter Australia's top leagues.